Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024318 0.026247 0.028259 0.030515 0.032976 0.035582 0.038552
2025-11-30 0.020974 0.023716 0.026728 0.030290 0.034396 0.038991 0.044542
2025-12-07 0.018785 0.021983 0.025634 0.030126 0.035525 0.041833 0.049800
2025-12-14 0.017114 0.020586 0.024675 0.029870 0.036332 0.044152 0.054403
2025-12-21 0.015943 0.019636 0.024101 0.029935 0.037412 0.046744 0.059388
2025-12-28 0.014865 0.018688 0.023420 0.029756 0.038092 0.048788 0.063715
2026-01-04 0.014004 0.017935 0.022905 0.029710 0.038883 0.050955 0.068270
2026-01-11 0.013319 0.017352 0.022552 0.029821 0.039844 0.053351 0.073233
2026-01-18 0.012686 0.016790 0.022177 0.029855 0.040665 0.055563 0.078034
2026-01-25 0.012180 0.016362 0.021945 0.030051 0.041695 0.058089 0.083406
2026-02-01 0.011547 0.015720 0.021380 0.029733 0.041953 0.059498 0.087183
2026-02-08 0.010918 0.015050 0.020733 0.029251 0.041928 0.060464 0.090316
2026-02-15 0.010426 0.014567 0.020351 0.029170 0.042541 0.062491 0.095354
2026-02-22 0.009919 0.014039 0.019881 0.028934 0.042910 0.064177 0.099992
2026-03-01 0.009476 0.013580 0.019483 0.028775 0.043374 0.066020 0.104987
2026-03-08 0.009045 0.013115 0.019049 0.028531 0.043680 0.067610 0.109649
2026-03-15 0.008728 0.012803 0.018825 0.028592 0.044461 0.069992 0.115792
2026-03-22 0.008375 0.012419 0.018470 0.028422 0.044846 0.071732 0.120926
2026-03-29 0.008078 0.012105 0.018207 0.028379 0.045429 0.073820 0.126801
2026-04-05 0.007834 0.011864 0.018043 0.028484 0.046257 0.076361 0.133655
2026-04-12 0.007590 0.011608 0.017843 0.028516 0.046954 0.078703 0.140296
2026-04-19 0.007394 0.011421 0.017741 0.028703 0.047920 0.081567 0.148110
2026-04-26 0.007106 0.011073 0.017364 0.028400 0.048007 0.082847 0.152958